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Big storm coming at Florida then north

HayesGreener

HayesGreener

Ronin
Projections are for a powerful hurricane to make landfall Thursday and continue causing havoc as it goes north from the Gulf coast. Water temp in the Gulf is hot so it is expected to intensify rapidly. Projected track has the eye missing us in the western Panhandle but we are going to get a $hitton of rain. Taking precautions just the same. If you are in the path y'all be safe out there.

As an aside, I don't know if it's a scientific fact, but in all our years in rural Florida we have noted snakes, especially water mocasins, seeking higher ground as big storms approach and the barometric pressure falls. As Mrs Greener says, "The snakes know"
 
1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for further development of this system. A tropical
depression or storm is likely to form within the next day or two as
the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and
into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, where additional development
is expected.

Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy
rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.
Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this
system, as watches or warnings will likely be required later
this morning for portions of these areas. Later this week, the
system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern
Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern
Gulf Coast should also closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Screenshot 2024-09-23 at 07-57-11 Atlantic 7-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook.png
 
They can't predict right where it is going till the eye is fully formed and it gets organized, and there won't be much time to react once it has a target. It appears it will miss us in the western panhandle, but We have lots of friends and family in the Tampa Bay area that causes us worry.
 
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