NOAA Winter weather predictions for your area?

[Old_Me]

i was reading in the local newspaper, yes, i still read, and an actual newspaper, this years winter predictions regarding temps and snowfall.

seem we here in New England may have a bit warmer and wetter winter for Dec, Jan, and Feb...

of course, in the past, we got hit with lots of snow in March, but then too, by that time, the temps start rising.

your area's winter predictions..???

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, released their 2023-2024 winter outlook on Thursday, and the forecasters are predicting that the odds are in favor that New England will see above normal temperatures.

El Nino is responsible for driving the outlook for warmer-than-average temperatures for much of the northern tier of the continental United States, according to service forecasters.

Northern New England is among the regions with the greatest odds of seeing warmer-than-average conditions (along with Alaska and the Pacific Northwest).

The rest of New England has a 40 to 50 percent probability of seeing above normal temperatures, according to the weather service.

 

[KillerFord1977]

I’m in Texas.
Whatever the weather folks say, it does the opposite around here.
Except for July-Sept, where it stays hot and 100

 

[Mr.W.]

No thanks, anyhow. I'll just continue to step onto the back porch for a forecast I can trust.

 

[Grayfox]

According to NOAA, I'm in the "About Equal" zone.
Halloween is just around the corner. That's usually the sign for us. We hand out candy sitting out in the driveway. If you have to wear a heavy coat, its likely to be a bad winter. Shirt sleeves or a light jacket, not so much.
So far its looking like maybe a sweater.

 

[Old_Me]

According to NOAA, I'm in the "About Equal" zone.
Halloween is just around the corner. That's usually the sign for us. We hand out candy sitting out in the driveway. If you have to wear a heavy coat, its likely to be a bad winter. Shirt sleeves or a light jacket, not so much.
So far its looking like maybe a sweater.

the past few winters here, we get past Christmas for sure, sometimes New Years, before we get measurable snow...but we get socked in February/March, several times. But it doesn't stay long, with the longer days of sun and rising temps.

more of a PITA snow events.

my late grandparents used to say..."if it snows just before Thanksgiving Day, it'll snow all winter"

"if it snows just before Christmas, we won't get that much"

for many decades, they were spot on.

then Al Gore stepped in with his "global warming" and ruined everything

 

[powerboatr]

here they expect cold and wet winter???? feb is when its cold here usually
but we have hit 41 already for overnight low. and its 91 now ?????

so normal for north east texas

 

[Hammer67]

Same as every other winter here - metric assloads of white stuff.

 

[The Night Rider]

 

[Talyn]

We're supposed to be warmer & drier, which won't be good for next year, but Mom Nature calls the shots & we'll see what happens.

 

[belladonna]

They're saying slightly above normal temps for us this coming winter. I subscribe to the "I'll believe it when I see it" school of thought. It will be winter in eastern MN/western ND. Winter is generally cold with snow in varying amounts. Last year was exceptionally brutal. I can't remember I-94 being closed so often in years. I check the weather app on my phone, and I take a page out of @Mr.W. 's meteorological forecasting. Stick my face out the door and see if the air hurts.

 

[Old_Me]

They're saying slightly above normal temps for us this coming winter. I subscribe to the "I'll believe it when I see it" school of thought. It will be winter in eastern MN/western ND. Winter is generally cold with snow in varying amounts. Last year was exceptionally brutal. I can't remember I-94 being closed so often in years. I check the weather app on my phone, and I take a page out of @Mr.W. 's meteorological forecasting. Stick my face out the door and see if the air hurts.

i too go along with the...."when i look out the window, that's today's weather" belief.

too many times we have all watched tv weather people, or heard on the radio, about snow, cold, ice, whatever, and they are wrong on the timing, or the day, or the amount.

yet they (the weather people) still get 100% of thier pay..

try being wrong, or late, or miss a day at your jobs and see what happens.

 

[SimonRL]

We’re down for a wet winter her in TX, which means we’ll have flooding problems because the ground got baked so hard after our summer on the surface of the sun. Can’t win!

 

[nmedge]

Here wetter and a little cooler so they say. Who knows what will happen. I'll send you a pic of the snow when and if it comes!

 

[Hammer67]

I have a good friend who is a weather/avalanche forecaster, and he's been recording data for years for our mountains. He says he's never seen much of a correlation between what is generally expected from an El Niño year, and what actually happens locally in our area.

 

[wolfpack076]

I love the early school dismissals, delays and cancellations. Too many times they called off school and yet the roads were fine at least for me that is. Plus this year they actually had early dismissal twice and a cancellation because of the heat. School officials said it's too hot no ac in the schools. I'm not that old (52) but we didn't have ac in school and we never got out early. I remember we had a tropical storm hit when I was in middle school, they gathered everyone in the auditorium away from any windows and we sat there. the cafeteria opened back up and fed us dinner and we didn't leave the school til almost 8 oclock at night. Like many stated above I usually just go out with the dogo in the yard and see for myself what's going on.

 

[powerboatr]

We’re down for a wet winter her in TX, which means we’ll have flooding problems because the ground got baked so hard after our summer on the surface of the sun. Can’t win!

that nearly 6 inches we got a few weeks ago...just vanished into the the soil . we normally would have had puddles, but it was like earth just sucked it up and dried.. it was scary dry

 

[Annihilator]

 

[Blackfeather]

Same as it ever was.

This was my local TV weatherman when I lived in Indianapolis, we rarely knew what to expect long term weather wise. This was partly because predicting weather more than a week out is a total crap shoot, and partly because Letterman was cracking jokes the entire time back then.

 

[Bassbob]

I expect this winter will be like every winter. One day it will be 40 and the next -9. Then the next day it will be 96.

 

[Blackfeather]

Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai.